Seminars take place in Kreeger 100 on Wednesdays at 12 p.m. unless specified otherwise—see Campus Maps.
Spring 2013
March 20
Remi Jedwab, George Washington University
Title: "Urbanization With and Without Structural Transformation"
March 27
Keun Lee, Seoul National University
Title: "Neo-Schumpeterian Analysis of Catch-Up by the Latecomers: Knowledge, Path-Creation, and the Middle-Income Trap"
April 3
Jeremiah Dittmar & Skipper Seabold, both American University
Title: "Media, Beliefs, and Economic Change: Printing and the Protestant Reformation"
April 10
Wallace Oates & Robert Schwab, both University of Maryland
Title: "The Window Tax: A Case Study in Excess Burden"
April 17
Luciano Floridi, University of Hertfordshire and Oxford University
(joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: "The Design of Political Agents in the Age of Hyperhistory"
April 24
Jay Shambaugh, George Washington University
Title: "Rounding the Corners of the Trilemma" (joint work with Michael Klein)
May 1
Peter Adriaans, University of Amsterdam (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: "What Does it Mean to be a Model? A Computational View"
Fall 2012
September 5
Bilgehan Karabay, UVA
Title: "When is it optimal to delegate: The theory of fast-track authority"
September 12
Robert Rich, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
September 19
Chris Blattman, Columbia
Title: Building institutions at the micro-level: Results from a field experience in property dispute and conflict resolution
September 26
Robin Lumsdaine, American University
Title: Wall Street vs. Main Street: A Comparison of Views
October 3
Ignacio Presno, Boston Federal Reserve
Title: Sovereign Default Risk and Uncertainty Premia
October 10
Tobias Pfutze, Oberlin College
Title: The Effects of a Non-Contributory Pension Program on Labor Force Participation: The Case of '70 y mas' in Mexico
October 17
Paola Giuliano, UCLA
Title: On the Origins of Gender Roles: Women and the Plough
October 24
Nicholas Ziebarth, Iowa
Title: Cementing the Case for Collusion under the National Recovery Administration
October 31
Amos Golan, American U (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: On the Foundations and Philosophy of Info-Metrics
November 7
Refik Soyer, GWU (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: When is Failure Preferable to Survival?
November 14
Jeremiah Dittmar, American University
Title: Ideas, Business, Human Capital, and Growth, the Print Media Revolution in Early Modern Europe
November 28
Timo Teräsvirta, Aarhus University (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: Conditional Correlation Models of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Nonstationary GARCH Equations
Monday, December 3 at 3:30 PM*
Sam Bowles, Santa Fe Institute
Title: Machiavelli’s Mistake: Why good laws are no substitute for good citizens
*please note this seminar is on a Monday and at 3:30 PM
December 5
Eric Chaney, Harvard
Title: Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Asymmetric Information
Spring 2012
February 29
Kees Bouwman, Erasmus University (joint with Info-Metrics Institute and KSB)
"Stock Market Liquidity and Bond Risk Premia" (joint paper with Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham)
Date TBD
Williame Greene, New York University (Info-Metrics Institute Seminar)
Friday, March 2
Badi Baltagi, Syracuse University
"Firm-level Productivity Spillovers in China's Chemical Industry: A Spatial Hausman-Taylor Approach" (joint with Peter Egger and Michaela Kesina)
March 7
Robert Lerman, American University
March 21
Stephanie Seguino, University of Vermont
"Monetary tightening and the dynamics of US race and gender stratification"
March 28
William Ferguson, Grinnell College
"Collective-Action and Exchange: a Game-Theoretic Approach to Contemporary Political Economy"
April 11
Sherman Robinson, IFPRI (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
"Applications of Maximum Entropy Econometrics to Estimation Problems in Developing Countries"
Friday, April 13
Truman Bewley, Yale University
"An Interview Study of Pricing"
April 18
Talip Kilic, The World Bank
Amparo Palacios-Lopez, University of Maryland College Park and The World Bank
"What Explains Gender Disparities in Agricultural Productivity? Evidence from Malawi"
April 25
Michael Anderson, Washington and Lee University
"Ethnic Networks and Price Dispersion" (joint work with Martin Davies, Washington and Lee University, and Stephen L. S. Smith, Gordon College)
Thursday, April 26
Herman Van Dijk, Erasmus University (Info-Metrics Institute Seminar)
"Simulation based Bayes Procedures for Three 21st Century Key Research Issues"
Fall 2011
September 14
Victor Yakovenko, University of Maryland (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
"Entropy maximization and distributions of money, income, and energy consumption in a market economy"
September 28
Robin Lumsdaine, American University
"How Survey Design Affects Inference Regarding Health Perceptions and Outcomes"
October 5
Prakash Loungani, International Monetary Fund
"Cyclical or Structural? New Evidence on Sources of High Unemployment"
Thursday, October 13
Bahattin Buyuksahin, International Energy Agency
"Do Institutional Traders Predict Bull and Bear Markets?"
*please note that this seminar is on a Thursday
October 19
Jay Stewart, Bureau of Labor Statistics
"How to Think About Time-Use Data: What Inferences Can We Make About Long-and Short-Run Time Use from Time Diaries?"
Friday, October 21
Evzen Kocenda, Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education and Economics Institute (CERGE-EI)
"Exchange Rates in Central and East European Countries: Evidence from the Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods"
*please note that this seminar is on a Friday
October 26
Christopher Ruhm, University of Virginia
"Time for Children: Trends in the Employment Patterns of Parents, 1967-2009"
November 2
Teddy Seidenfeld, Carnegie Mellon University (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: Bayesian Consensus
November 9
Herman Stekler and Tara Sinclair, George Washington University
"Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates"
November 16
Sarah Baird, George Washington University
Worms at Work: Long Run Impacts of Child Health Gains
November 30
John Chao, University of Maryland
"Instrumental Variable Estimation and Testing with Heteroskedasticity and Many Instruments"
December 7
Loran Grady Chollete, UiS Business School, Norway (joint with Info-Metrics Institute)
Title: "The Market Premium for Dynamic Tail Risk"
Thursday, December 8
Ting Liu, Michigan State University
"Health Insurance, Treatment Plan, and Delegation to Altruistic Physician"
*please note that this seminar is on a Thursday
Spring 2011
January 19
Carl Sanders, University of Wisconsin, Madison
"Skill Uncertainty, Skill Accumulation, and Occupational Choice"
http://sites.google.com/site/carlesanders
January 26
Rebecca Lessem, University of Wisconsin Madison
"U.S. Mexico Immigration: Effects of Wages and Border Enforcement"
https://mywebspace.wisc.edu/rlessem/web/
Monday, January 31
Daniel Schmierer, University of Chicago
"Home Investment in Children in Anticipation of Divorce"
http://home.uchicago.edu/~dschmier/Home.html
*please note that this seminar is on a Monday
Thursday, February 3
Rachel Heath, Yale University
"Why Do Firms Hire Using Referrals? Evidence from Bangladeshi Garment Factories"
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~rmh43/
*Please note that this seminar is on a Thursday
February 16
Amos Golan, American University
"An Entropic Framework for Modelling Economies"
February 23
Gavin Wright, Stanford University
"Sharing the Prize: The Economics of the Civil Rights Revolution in the South"
Monday, February 28
Costanza Biavaschi, Rutgers University
"Recovering the Counterfactual Wage Distribution with Selective Return Migration"
http://sites.google.com/site/cbiavaschi/
*Please note that this seminar is on a Monday
March 2
Juan Bonilla, University of Maryland College Park
"Contracting Out Public Schools for Academic Achievement: Evidence from Colombia"
http://econweb.umd.edu/~bonilla/
March 16
Ellen Meade, American University
March 23
Aman Ullah, University of California Riverside
"Estimation and Forecasting of Dynamic Conditional Covariance: A Semiparametric Multivariate Model"
Companion paper: Nonparametric and Semiparametric Volatility Models: Specification, Estimation, and Testing (Liangjun Su, Aman Ullah, Santosh Mishra)
Joint with Info-Metrics Institute
March 30
Stelios Michalopoulos, Tufts University
"The Long-Run Effects of the Scramble for Africa"
Thursday, March 31 at 3 p.m.
M. Hashem Pesaran, Cambridge University
"On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models"
Joint with Info-Metrics Institute
*Please note that this seminar is on a Thursday at 3 p.m.
Friday, April 1 at 10:30 a.m.
Ann Huff Stevens
"The Best of Times, the Worst of Times: Understanding Pro-cyclical Mortality" (Ann Huff Stevens, Douglas Miller, Marianne Page, and Mateusz Fillipski)
*Please note that this seminar is on a Friday at 10:30 a.m.
April 6
Neil Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board
"The Intuition of Empirical Model Selection"
Background paper
Tuesday, April 12
Natalia Radtchenko, University of Paris I Pantheon-Sorbonne & CREST
"The Changing Intra-Household Resource Allocation in Russia"
Other papers:
"Identifying Intra-household Welfare Distribution"
"How Do Spouses Share their Full Income? Identification of the Sharing Rule Using Self-reported Income"
*please note that this seminar is on a Tuesday
April 13
Karla Hoffman, George Mason University
"Combinatorial Auctions: Why are they proliferating and the role OR plays in such auctions"
Fall 2010
September 15
Eric Verhoogen, Columbia University
"Exports and Wage Premia: Evidence from Mexican Employer-Employee Data"
September 22
John Nye, George Mason University
“Does Fortune Favor Dragons?”
September 29
Ximing Wu, Texas A&M – joint with Info-Metrics Institute
"Semiparametric Estimation of Production Functions with Shape Constraints" (with Robin Sickles)
September 30
Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham, Erasmus University and Erasmus School of Economics
"The Impact of Foreign Government Investments: Sovereign Wealth Fund Investments in the U.S."
*Kogod School of Business T-62, 12:45-2 p.m.*
*please note that this seminar is on a Thursday, in the Kogod building
October 6
Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University
"Reverse Regressions and Long Horizon Forecasting"
October 13
Robert McMaster, Marquette University
"Situating Care in Health Economics"
October 20
Eric Renault, University of North Carolina – joint with Info-Metrics Institute
October 27
Petra Todd, University of Pennsylvania – joint with Info-Metrics Institute
“Structural Estimation and Policy Evaluation in Developing Countries”
"Effects of School Reform on Education and Labor Market Performance: Evidence from Chile's Universal Voucher System" (David Bravo, Sankar Mukhopadhyay, and Petra E. Todd)
"Ex Ante Evaluation of Social Programs" (Petra E. Todd and Kenneth I. Wolpin)
November 3
Jennifer Poole, UC Santa Cruz
"Trade Liberalization, Firm Heterogeneity, and Wages: New Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data"
November 10
Mark Gersovitz, Johns Hopkins University
"Disinhibition and Immiserization in a Model of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) Diseases"
November 17
Robin Lumsdaine, American University – joint with Info-Metrics Institute
"The Relationship between Oil Prices and Breakeven Inflation Rates"
December 1 (Co-sponsored by the Office of the Provost)
Peter Doeringer, Boston University
View: Abstract, Bio
"Can Small-Scale Industries Be Rescued from Industrial Decline? Labor Market Regulation, Workplace Efficiency, and Economic Performance in the Los Angeles and New York Garment Districts"
*East Quad Building Lounge*
*please note that this seminar is at a different location
Spring 2010
Wednesday, January 13, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Suyong Song, University of California, San Diego
"Identification and Estimation of Nonseparable Models with Measurement Errors"
http://econ.ucsd.edu/~s7song
FRIDAY, January 15, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Seth Richards, University of Pennsylvania
“Peer Effects in Sexual Initiation: Separating Social Norms and Partner Supply”
http://www.econ.upenn.edu/~serichar/
Wednesday, January 20, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Yanping (Shannon) Chong, University of California, Davis
“Fundamentals Based Exchange Rate Predictability over the Business Cycle”
http://www.econ.ucdavis.edu/graduate/ypchong/
FRIDAY, January 22, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Fedor Iskhakov, University of Oslo (visiting University of Maryland, College Park)
“Structural Dynamic Model of Retirement with Latent Health Indicators”
http://fedor.iskh.ru/
Wednesday, January 27, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Florian Hoffmann, University of Toronto
“An Empirical Model of Life-Cycle Earnings and Mobility Dynamics”
http://www.chass.utoronto.ca/~hoffmann
FRIDAY, January 29, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Prosper Dovonon, University of Montreal
"GMM Overidenitification Text with First Order Underidentification"
http://sites.google.com/site/prosperdovonon/
TUESDAY, February 16, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Simon Sheng, SUNY Albany
"Modeling Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: Theory and Empirics"
http://www.fredonia.edu/business/economics/faculty_cvs_and_resumes/sheng.asp
WEDNESDAY, February 17, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Kyo Ho Kang, Washington University in St. Louis
"Change Points in Affine Term-Structure Models: Pricing, Estimation and Forecasting"
http://kyukang.net/default.aspx
February 24
John Driscoll, Federal Reserve Board
“Learning in the Credit Card Market” (joint with Sumit Agarwal, Xavier Gabaix, and David Laibson)
March 3
James Bono, American University
“Bargaining in the National Airspace System”
FRIDAY, March 19, 12:45pm to 2pm*
Luca Guerrieri, Federal Reserve Board and American University
"Oil Shocks and External Adjustment"
March 24
Jeanne LaFortune, Maryland
“Smooth(er) Landing? The Dynamic Role of Networks in the Location and Occupational Choice of Immigrants in Early 20th Century United States”
March 31
John Haltiwanger, Maryland
“Labor Market Flows and Vacancies in the Cross Section and Over Time” (joint with Steven Davis and Jason Faberman)
TUESDAY, April 6, 12:00pm to 1:30pm*
Austin Nichols, University of Michigan
"The EITC for Noncustodial Parents"
April 7
Suresh Naidu, Harvard Academy & Weatherhead Center
“Bases, Bullets, and Ballots: The Effect of US Military Aid on Political Conflict in Colombia” (joint with Oendrila Dube)
April 14
Carmen Reinhart, Maryland
“From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis” & “This Time is Different: Country Histories on Debt, Default, and Financial Crises” (joint with Kenneth Rogoff)
April 21
Graciela Kaminsky, George Washington University
"Two Hundred Years of Financial Integration: Latin America since Independence"
Fall 2009
September 2
Tara Sinclair and Yueqing Jia, George Washington University
Permanent and Transitory Macroeconomic Relationships between the US and China
September 9
Enrico Ciavolino and/or Rosa Bernardini Papalia, Universita del Salento and Universita di Bologna, respectively
TUESDAY, September 22
*Note special date and location*
Deirdre McCloskey
Distinguished Professor of Economics, History, English, and Communication
University of Illinois at Chicago
"Bourgeois Dignity: Why Economics Does Not Explain the Modern World"
*Gray Hall, Bentley Lounge*
12:00 pm to 1:30 pm
September 30
Ralph Sonenshine, American University
Horizontal Mergers and R&D
October 7
*Note special date and location*
Phill Swagel, Georgetown University,
Center for Financial Institutions, Policy, and Governance
"The Financial Crisis: An Inside View"
*Kogod School of Business 118*
11:30 am to 1 pm
[note this will be a joint seminar with Kogod]
October 14
Jeremiah Dittmar, American University
"Ideas, Technology, and Economic Change: The Impact of the Printing Press"
October 21
Arturo C. Porzecanski, American University
Distinguished Economist in Residence in SIS
"Latin America: The Missing Financial Crisis"
October 28
Haydar Kurban, Howard University
"Property Tax Funded Suburban Public Education:
Tiebout Benefits or Community-Based Redistribution"
November 4
Michael J. Ferrantino, American University
Lead International Economist, U.S. International Trade Commission
"Downstreaming, Diffusion, and the Dynamics of Comparative Advantage"
November 11
Gary Painter, University of Southern California, Planning and Development
"Travel Behavior among Latino Immigrants: The Role of Ethnic Neighborhoods and Ethnic Employment"
November 18*
*Note special location*
Bernhard G. Gunter (American University and Bangladesh Development Research Center), Haiyan Shi (International Monetary Fund) [presenters]; and Deborah Brautigam (SIS), and Neil Watkins (Jubilee USA Network) [discussants]
"Linking Social Development with the Capacity to Carry Debt: Towards an MDG-Consistent Debt Sustainability Concept"
*SIS Lounge*
12 pm to 1:30 pm
* Co-sponsored with the Center for Development Studies and Practice at the School of International Service.
December 2
Elena Bardasi, World Bank
"Working Long Hours and Having No Choice: Time Poverty in Guinea"
Spring 2009
January 14
No Seminar
January 21
No Seminar
January 28
No Seminar
February 4
Carmen Diana Deere, University of Florida, Gainesville
“Poverty, Headship and Gender Inequality in Asset Ownership in Latin America”
February 11 at 2:00 p.m.
Mark Duggan, University of Maryland
“Paying a Premium on Your Premium: Consolidation in the U.S. Health Insurance Industry”
February 18
Maggi Chen, George Washington University
“Multinational Subsidiary Networks”
February 25
Kim Elliot, Peterson Institute for International Economics
TBA
March 4
Kevin Forbes, Catholic University
TBA
March 18
Elizabeth Kiser, Federal Reserve Board
TBA
March 25
Alison Jacknowitz, American University
“The Effect of Full-Day Kindergarten on English Learner Students”
March 31
Meredith Crowley, Chicago Fed
TBA
April 8
Adam Thomas, Brookings Institute
TBA
April 15
James Bono, American University
April 22
Bahattin Buyuksahin, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission
TBA
Fall 2008
September 3
Impact on Poverty of the Food and Oil price Crisis in Africa
Quentin Wodon, World Bank
September 10
On Promotion, Race and Gender – An Empirical Analysis of the U. S. Navy
Amos Golan, American University
September 17
Consumption, Asset Wealth and Money Balances: Revisiting the Predictability of Asset Returns
Pierre Lafourcade, Dutch Central Bank
September 24
"Let a Thousand Models Bloom: Western Universities and the Making of the New Higher Educational System in the Gulf"
John Willoughby, American University
October 1
Does the Trade Adjustment Assistance Program Make a Difference?
Kara Reynolds, American University
October 8
The Free-Riding Effect of the MFN Clause: Evidence Across Commodities and Countries {ABSTRACT}
Rodney Ludema, Georgetown University
October 15
Efficient Delivery of Cash Transfers to the Poor: Improving the Design of a Conditional Cash Transfer Program in Ecuador
Paul Carillo, George Washington University
October 22
Sam Allen, Virginia Military Institute Political Economy of Workers’ Compensation Insurance {ABSTRACT}
October 29 has been RESCHEDULED for February 25th, 2009
Kimberly Elliot, Peterson Institute for International Economics
November 5
Integration, Agglomeration and Costly Adjustment of Labor {ABSTRACT}
Mina Kim, Bureau of Labor Statistics
November 12
Diseases and Development: A Theory of Infection Dynamics and Economic Behavior {ABSTRACT}
Chris Papageorgiou, IMF
November 19
Church Provision of Club Goods and Community Redevelopment in New Orleans East
Virgil Storr, George Mason University
December 3
Nutrition Interventions in Northern Ghana: Impacts on Mothers’ Vitamin A Knowledge and Children’s Vitamin A Consumption
Krista Jacobs, ICRW
Spring 2008
February 13
Challenges for Europe in a Capital Market-Driven Economy
Max Watson, Fellow of Wolfson College, Oxford and Associate Fellow of Chatham House
Background Documents include Growth and Economic Policy: Are There Speed Limits to Real Convergence and EU Economy 2006 Review: Adjustment Dynamics in the Euro Area
February 20
When Bioterrorism Was No Big Deal
Werner Troesken, George Mason University
February 27
Motivational Structures Underlying Judicial Discretion: An Information Theoretic Investigation
Avinash Bhati, Urban Institute
March 5
Economics of Education: A 50-year Anniversary Recap
George Psacharopoulos, formerly at the London School of Economics, University of Chicago, and World Bank
March 19
Private versus Public Capital Formations and Private Economic Growth
Mehmet Ali Celebi, American University
March 26
High Growth and Low Consumption in East Asia: How to Improve Welfare While Avoiding Financial Failures
Andrew Feltenstein, International Monetary Fund
April 2
Explaining the Inability of Economists to Practice What They Preach
Tom Scheiding, Elizabethtown College
April 9
"Happy Peasants and Frustrated Achievers:Lessons and Questions for (Health) Policy from the Economics of Happiness"
Carol Graham, University of Maryland | Brookings Institution
April 16
"No Small Hope: The Basic Good Imperative"
Ken Reinert, George Mason University
April 23
"A New Era of International Financial Integration:Global, Market, and Regional Factors"
Graciela Kaminsky, George Washington University
September 5
Intertemporal Labor Supply and Involuntary Unemployment
Arne Uhlendorff, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
September 12
The Influence of Firms on Governments
John Mayo, Georgetown University
September 19
Farming Type and Performance: A Comparison of Conventional and Organic Dairy Production in the United States
Roberto Mosheim, Economic Research Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture
September 26
Substance Abuse Treatment and Motor Vehicle Fatalities
Beth Freeborn, College of William and Mary
October 3
Is Trade Preference Erosion Bad for Development
Judith Dean, U.S. International Trade Commission
October 10
Subsidized Contraception, Fertility Outcomes, and Sexual Behavior
Melissa Schettini Kearney, University of Maryland
October 17
Cancelled
October 24
Industrial Clusters in Mexico, 1988-2002
Alejandro Dávila Flores, Director of the Center for Socioeconomic Research at the Autonomous University of Coahuila and member of the National System of Research in Mexico (SNI)
October 31
Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy with Costly Wage Bargaining
David Arseneau, Federal Reserve Board
November 7
Human Capital Risk Management: The Optimal Exercise of Career Options
Jonathan Treussard, Boston University
November 14
Who does Microfinance Fail to Reach? Experimental Evidence on Gender and Microenterprise Returns
David McKenzie, World Bank
November 28
Financial Liberalization, Financial Restraint and Entrepreneurial Development
Shahe Emran, George Washington University
December 5
Cancelled
Graciela Kaminsky, George Washington University
Spring 2007
January 24
Transitioning Out of Poverty
Mika Kato, Howard University
February 9 - Note: Special Friday Seminar
Time Allocation and Household Production
Robert Pollak, Washington University at Saint Louis and MacArthur Foundation Network on the Family and the Economy
February 14
Some Simple Tests of the Globalization and Inflation Hypothesis
Steve Kamin, Federal Reserve Board
Rescheduled for March 28
February 21
An Economic Analysis of Warrior Warfare
Shawn Humphrey, University of Mary Washington
February 28
Tax Incentives for Low-Income Communities: Has the New Markets Tax Credit Led to Increased Investment in Targeted Communities?
Tami Gurley-Calvez, U.S. General Accounting Office
March 7
Experiences at the Federal Reserve
Ed Gramlich Urban Institute and former member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors
March 14
Spring Break-No Seminar
March 21
Is Trade Preference Erosion Bad for Development?
Judith Dean, U.S. International Trade Commission
Cancelled
March 28
Some Simple Tests of the Globalization and Inflation Hypothesis
Steve Kamin, Federal Reserve Board
April 4
Gender, Employment and State Taxes in the U.S.
Caren Grown, Levy Economics Institute
April 11
Seek and You Will Not Find: Model Specification and Search in the Presence of Two-Directional Spatial Autocorrelation
Mark Roberts, Cambridge University
April 18
Revisiting Altruism in the Family: A New Perspective
Maria Sophia Aguirre, Catholic University
April 25
On the Role of Absorptive Capacity: FDI Matters to Growth
Yuko Kinoshita, International Monetary Fund
August 30
MASs Macro: An Agent-Based Computational Approach to Macroeconomics
Robert Axtell, Brookings/Santa Fe/George Mason
September 6 - Moved to September 20
Macroeconomic and Structural Constraints on Export-Led Growth in Mexico
Robert Blecker, American University
September 13
Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions
Chiara Scotti (Federal reserve Board) (with S.B. Aruoba and F.X. Diebold)
September 20
Macroeconomic and Structural Constraints on Export-Led Growth in Mexico
Robert Blecker, American University
September 27
Testing the Transparency Benefits of Inflation Targeting: Evidence from Private Sector Forecasters
Chris Crowe, IMF
October 4
Skill or Luck? The Informational Value of Hedge Fund Track Records
Kwang Soo Cheong, John Hopkins University
October 11
Empirical Evidence on Occupation and Industry Specific Human Capital
Paul J. Sullivan, BLS
October 18
Law and Economics
Christine Kymn, George Mason University
October 25
Crowding Out in Corporate Charitable Giving
Steven Trost, US International Trade Commission
November 1
Inflation and Stock Prices: No Illusion
Chao Wei, George Washington University
November 8
A Model of Price Advertising
Eliane P. Catilina, American University
November 15
Causes and Consequences of the Decline in Marriage
Barbara Bergmann, American University / University of Maryland
November 29
Topic: Industrial Organization
Zhe Jin, University of Maryland
December 6
Topic: Econometrics
Amos Golan, American University
Spring 2006
Janurary 18
Do Firms Maximize Profits? Evidence of Suboptimal Replacement Decisions by a Car Rental Company
John Rust, University of Maryland, (Co-authored with Sung Jin Cho)
January 25
False Modesty: When Disclosing Good News Looks Bad
Theodore To, BLS, (Co-authored with Richmond Harbaugh)
February 1
Dynamic Stability and Reform of Political Institutions
Roger Lagunoff, Georgetown University
February 8
Asset Prices and Asset Correlations in Illiquid Markets
Celso Brunetti, Johns Hopkins University, with Alessio Caldarera
February 15
Topic: Demand for Payday Advance or Refunding Anticipation Loans
Gregory Elliehausen, Credit Research Center, Georgetown University
February 22
The Erosion of Tariff Preferences: The Impact of U.S. Tariff Reductions on Developing Countries
Kara Reynolds, Department of Economics, American University
March 1
Inflation Targeting under Imperfect Knowledge
Athanasios Orphanides, Federal Reserve Board (Co-authored with John C. Williams)
March 8
Testing for Structural Breaks and Other forms of Non-stationarity: A Misspecification Perspective
Maria Heracleous, American University (Co-authored with A. Koutris and A. Spanos)
March 22
Subjective Probability and Utility: Their Historical Development and Axiomatics
Nozer Singpurwalla, Department of Statistics, George Washington University
March 29
Why Have Cocaine and Heroin Prices Declined in the Face of Tougher Enforcement?
Peter Reuter, School of Public Policy and Department of Criminology, University of Maryland
April 5
The Economic Impact of AIDS Treatment: Labor Supply in Western Kenya
Markus Goldstein, World Bank (Co-authored with Hasha Thirumurthy and Joshua Zivin)
April 19
Estimating Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Structural Approach
Marco Cipriani, George Washington University
April 21 - SPECIAL DATE!
Financial Access of Low Income Population in Brazil
Camille Bemerguy, UFF - Brazil, Visiting Scholar, American University
April 26
What's the Game?
Eliane Catilina and Amos Golan, American University Department of Economics
Fall 2005
December 7
Financial Markets and Effectiveness of Remittances to Developing Countries
B. Gabriela Mundaca, Department of Economics, University of Oslo
November 30
Policy Anchors: FTAs, WTO Accession, and Domestic Reform in Developing Countries
Michael Ferrantino, USITC
November 23
No seminar
November 16
Why do the Poor Leave the Safety Net in Mexico? A Study of the Effects of Conditionality on Dropouts
Carola Alvarez & Florencia Devoto, IDB and Paul Winters, American University
November 9
From Rogue Creditors to Rogue Debtors
Arturo Porzecanski, Scholar of International Finance, American University, Adjunct Professor of International Affairs, Columbia University, Adjunct Professor of Economics, New York University, Former chief emerging-markets economist at ABN AMRO, ING Barings, Kidder, Peabody & Co, Republic National Bank of New York
November 2
Gini’s Multiple Regressions
Shlomo Yitzhaki, Director, Central Bureau of Statistics (Israel) and Professor of Economics at Hebrew University, Jerusalem, (coauthor: Edna Schechtman, Ben-Gurion University)
October 26
No seminar
October 21 (Friday)
Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery
Sweta Saxena, Graduate School of Public & International Affairs, University of Pittsburgh, (with Valerie Cerra, IMF)
October 20 (Thursday)
Will There be a Dollar Crisis?
Paul Krugman, Princeton University, 3pm to 5pm, Battelle Atrium
October 19
No seminar
October 12
Patterns and Determinants of Entry in Rural County Banking Markets
Bob Feinberg, AU
October 5
Violent Conflict and Economic Growth: Re-visiting the Evidence
Martha Starr, AU
September 28
Rural Electrification Challenge and Experience in Asia and Africa
Subodh Mathur, Note: Subodh Mathur taught Econometrics and Economic Development at the American University 1981-1988. Since 1995 he has been a consultant in the design of rural electrification and renewable energy development projects
September 21
Some Pitfalls in Testing the Law of One Price in Commodity Markets
John Pippenger, UC Santa Barbara, Emeritus, (Co-author Llad Phillips, UC Santa Barbara)
September 14
Trends in Intergenerational Mobility
Tom Hertz, AU
September 7
Public Capital and Growth in a Decentralized Framework
Ajitava Raychaudhuri, Jadavpur University, Kolkata
April 20
The Effects of Multiple Minimum Wages Throughout the Labor Market in Costa Rica
Tim Gindling, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
April 13
The Effect of Adult Returns to Schooling on Children’s School Enrollment, Theory and Evidence from South Africa
Sarah Gormly, Division of Foreign Economic Research, Department of Labor, (Co-author Kenneth A. Swinnerton)
April 8 (Friday)
External Shocks and the Urban Poor
Pierre-Richard Agénor, Co-Director, Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research, School of Economic Studies, University of Manchester, Related paper: The Macroeconomics of Poverty Reduction
March 30
Cost-Effectiveness of HIV/AIDS Treatment in India and Thailand
Mead Over, Lead Economist, Development Research Group, World Bank, Related Materials: HIV/AIDS Treatment and Prevention in India: Modeling the Cost and Consequences, © 2004, World Bank, Impact of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on the Health Sectors of Developing Countries, In The Macroeconomics of HIV/AIDS, Markus Haacker, ed., IMF, 2004
March 23
Central Bank Estimates of Natural Rates for Unemployment and Inflation
Peter Tinsley, George Washington University, (Co-author Sharon Kozicki, Research Dept., Kansas City Fed.)
March 16
Inequality Of Opportunity? Cross Country Evidence on the Determinants of Educational Investment and Returns
Mark Hopkins, Dept. of Economics, Gettysburg College
March 9
No Seminar
March 2
Counting The Reasons Why Countercyclicality Of Workers’ Remittances May Be Counterfactual
Serdar Sayan, Visiting Scholar, IMF Research Department, See related paper
February 23
A Model of Academic Journal Quality with Applications to Open-Access Journals
Chris Snyder, George Washington University, (Co-author, Mark J. McCabe, Georgia Institute of Technology), See also: The Economics of Open-Access Journals
Note: Older papers no longer linked; check with authors
December 15
Trade Deflection and Trade Depression
Chad Bown, Brandeis and Brookings
December 8
The State of Working America – A Research Agenda
Sylvia Allegretto, Economic Policy Institute
December 1
A Financial Approach to Modeling Macro Risk
Dale Gray, MF Risk, Inc
November 24
No Seminar
November 17
Jointly sponsored by PE Seminar
Still a Man's Labor Market: The Long Term Earnings Gap
Stephen Rose (OCR Macro) and Heidi Hartmann (Institute for Women's Policy Research)
November 10
Counting Chickens when they Hatch: The Short-Term Effect of Aid on Growth
Steven Radelet, Center for Global Development, (Co-authors Michael A. Clemens, Rikhil Bhavnani)
November 3
The Deadliest of Games: A Model of The Duel
Eliane Catilina, American University, (Co-author Robert E. Wright)
October 27
The Spread of Antidumping Regimes and the Role of Retaliation in Filings
Robert Feinberg and Kara Olson, American University
October 20
The Economic Consequences of Dollar Appreciation for U.S. Manufacturing Profits and Investment: A Time-Series Analysis
Robert Blecker, American University
October 13
No Seminar
October 8 (Friday)
PE Seminar, Noon – 1pm
Creating a Free (Market) Woman: Evaluating Market Freedom Indicators and Gender Wage Patterns
Laura Bhadra (Co-author Ramya Vijaya)
October 6
Bentley Lounge, Gray Hall
Have minimum wages benefited South Africa’s domestic workers?
Tom Hertz, American University
September 29
No Seminar
September 22
The Socio-Economic Impact of Favela-Bairro: What do the Data Say?
Yuri Soares, IDB Evaluation Office
September 15
No Seminar
September 8
Image Reconstruction: An Information-Theoretic Approach
Amos Golan, American University, (Co-authors Avi Bhati and Bahattin Buyuksahin)
April 21
Bank Runs in Emerging Market Economies: Turkey's Special Finance Houses
Martha Starr, American University
April 16 (Friday)
PE Seminar, 3pm
Have Global Public Goods Revived Jeremy Bentham?
Kristen Sheeran, St. Mary’s College
April 14
University Rankings Games
James Dearden, Lehigh University
April 7
From Promises to Action: Recommendations from the UN Millennium Project Task Force 3 for Achieving Gender Equality and Women's Empowerment
Caren Grown, International Center for Research on Women
March 31
Venezuela's Deteriorating Economy and Polity
Peter Whitney, American University
March 24
The Beach Party Problem
Nicholas Baigent, London School of Economics and University of Graz, Austria, Other papers: A Borda Rule for Decisions under Complete Uncertainty; Uncertainty Aversion under Complete Ignorance
March 19 (Friday)
PE Seminar, Noon-1pm
Global Keynesianism Versus The New Mercantilism: International Economics After Joan Robinson
Robert Blecker, American University
March 17
The Role of Trust in Costly Network Formation
Sudipta Sarangi, Louisiana State University, (Co-author Robert Gilles)
March 10
No Seminar
March 3
No Seminar
February 26 (Wednesday)
PE Seminar, Noon-1pm
Social Democracy... and... Libertarian Socialism: What Went Wrong?
Robin Hahnel, American University
December 8 (Monday)
Prioritizing Growth: Enhancing Macropolicy Choice
Colin Bradford, American University
December 3
The Elimination of Textile and Apparel Quotas: Trade Diversion or Trade Creation?
Kara Olson, American University
November 17 (Monday)
Life-Cycle Variation in the Association between Current and Lifetime Earnings
Gary Solon, University of Michigan
November 12
Rethinking Policy Toward Single Mothers
Barbara Bergmann, American University, Emerita
November 5
Bargaining over Subsidy Support for Adopted Children
Mary Hansen, American University
October 29
Technological Uncertainty and Earnings Dispersion in US Iron Work, 1866-1881
Peter Meyer, Bureau of Labor Statistics
October 22
Globalization and International Commodity Trade: The Case of West African Cocoa
Christopher Gilbert, Università degli Studi di Trento, Italy, (Coauthor Panos Varangis)
October 15
Inflation Targeting in Brazil: Lessons and Challenges
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos, Research Department, Central Bank of Brazil, (Co-authors Andre Minella, Paulo Springer de Freitas and Ilan Goldfajn)
October 8
No seminar
October 1
Market Power and the Incentives to Form Research Consortia
Bob Feinberg and Eliane Catilina, American University
September 24
Job Stability, Earnings, and Marital Stability: How Are They Related?
Bob Lerman, American University and Urban Institute, (Coauthor Avner Ahituv, University of Haifa and Urban Institute)
September 17
Regionalism: Old and New, Theory and Practice
Sherman Robinson, IFPRI. Coauthored with Mary Burfisher and Karen Thierfelder
September 10
Education, Human Capital and National Income
Theodore R. Breton, George Mason University
September 3
Works Councils & Environmental Investment: Theory & Evidence from German Panel Data
Stephen C. Smith, George Washington University, (Coauthors Jan Erik Askildsen, University of Bergen; Uwe Jirjahn, University of Hannover)
Spring 2003
April 30
Seminar Cancelled: Will try to get Scott Wallsten for next semester
Returning to Victorian Competition, Ownership, and Regulation:An Empirical Study of European Telecommunications at the turn of the 20th Century
Scott Wallsten, World Bank
April 23
Democracy, Inequality, and Inflation
Tarik Yousef, Georgetown (co-authors Raj Desai, Anders Olofsgard, Georgetown)
April 16
Seminar Cancelled: Will try to get Josh Epstein for next semester
April 9
Activists and Radicals in a Multi-Agent Model of Class Norms
Rob Axtell, CSED, Brookings, To download Java-based software for agent based simulation modeling, click here
April 2
The Millenium Challenge Account: Challenging the Conventions on Foreign Aid
Steve Radelet and Michael Clemens, Center for Global Development, Overview: Will the Millennium Challenge Account be Different?, Washington Quarterly, Spring 2003, Details of country selection process: Qualifying for the Millennium Challenge Account, Empirical analyses: The Millennium Challenge Account: How Much is Too Much, How Long is Long Enough? Center for Global Development Working Paper #23, February 2003
March 26
Men, Women and Risk Aversion
Catherine Eckel , Dept. of Economics, Virginia Tech
March 19
Location: McCabe Hall 102
The Status of Women in the States
Amy Caiazza, Institute for Women’s Policy Research
March 12
No seminar
March 5
Seminar Cancelled
February 26
Location: Roper Hall 100
Are Rejected Households Credit-Constrained Or Simply Less Creditworthy?
Darryl Getter, HUD
Fall 2002
December 11
Dynamics of Interrelation Between the Level and Distribution of Income: The Case of Time-Reversible Increasing Returns
Srinivas Raghavendra, Madras School of Economics, Chennai
December 4
Happiness and Hardship: Opportunity and Insecurity in New Market Economies
Carol Graham, Vice President and Director, Governance Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, (Book co-authored with Stefano Pettinato, Inter-American Development Bank and Nicole Pagano, Brookings Institution Press)
November 27
No seminar
November 20
The Paradox of the Absent-Minded Driver: A Preliminary Experiment
Eliane Catilina, Department.of Economics, American University
November 13
No seminar today; Carol Graham rescheduled to December 4th
November 6
The Long and Short of It: Global Liberalization, Poverty and Inequality
Christian Weller, Economic Policy Institute, (Co-authored with Adam Hersh)
October 30
Fair Wages, Effort Norms and Implicit Bargaining Power in Employment Relationships
William Ferguson, Department of Economics, Grinnell College
October 23
An Experimental Study of Congestion and Cost Allocation Mechanisms for Distributed Networks
Laura Razzolini, Dept. of Economics, University of Mississippi & National Science Foundation, (Co-authored with Yan Chen)
October 16
Financial Aid Packages And College Enrollment Decisions: An Econometric Case Study
Cecilia Rouse, Director, Education Research Center, Princeton University, (Co-authored with David M. Linsenmeier and Harvey S. Rosen)
October 9
No seminar
October 2
The Challenges of Getting a Small Open Economy Going Again: Peru Under Toledo, One Year Later
Daniel Schydlowsky, Professor of Economics, American University, President, Corporacion Financiera de Desarrollo (COFIDE), Lima, Peru
September 25
The States vs. the states: On the Welfare Costs of Business Cycles in the US
Michel Robe, Kogod School of Business, American University, (Co-authored with Stéphane Pallage)
September 18
International Business Cycles: World, Region, and Country-Specific Factors
Christopher Otrok, Dept. of Economics, University of Virginia, (Co-authored with M. Ayhan Kose and Charles H. Whiteman)
September 11
Forecasting the Effects of Pending Minimum Wage Legislation on Poverty in South Africa
Tom Hertz, Dept. of Economics, American University
